Agile-Friendship
0x0ed1c4bbb37b31435bbb1fdf6910d8dcd138d6f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$49.30
Total PnL
$-420.21
Realised
$-284.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
49 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.30
$14.30
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
227 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
117 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
81 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hegseth" during the State of the Union address?
63 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$35.00Mar 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 30, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$0.00Mar 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$55.10Mar 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$340.00Mar 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$9.00Mar 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$473.96Feb 28, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$230.77Feb 28, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$100.00Feb 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$25.41Feb 27, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$30.00Feb 27, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$50.00Feb 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$20.97Feb 20, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$9.00Feb 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$5.00Feb 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hegseth" during the State of the Union address?$37.14Feb 16, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$37.04Feb 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$14.00Feb 10, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$10.00Feb 10, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$7.50Jan 11, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $74.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".