Double-Patty
0x0ee4a7e4b9b2888879321da11aab612f222b6bbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-34.87
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET
775 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-151.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
473 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-253.32
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
384 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-204.86
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
321 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
290 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-155.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET
289 shares @ 85.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-248.52
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
269 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-145.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
266 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-66.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$160.94Jul 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$92.35Jul 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$37.87Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$15.55Jul 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.40Jul 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$71.51Jul 16, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$37.40Jul 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$15.33Jul 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.33Jul 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$392.54Jul 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$218.84Jul 16, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$89.76Jul 16, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$36.88Jul 16, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$15.16Jul 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.26Jul 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$9.51Jul 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.17Jul 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$64.63Jul 15, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$35.77Jul 15, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.