Realistic-Increase
0x0eeea56c3509e68fb655d0a2ddadc303957274e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?
1659 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 40°C on June 27?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 11?
1464 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?
1102 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on June 27?
1050 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 23?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?$50.00Jul 15, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?$14.81Jul 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?$2.87Jul 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$6.20Jul 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target$19.99Jul 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$1.00Jul 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$10.00Jul 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$1.00Jul 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$5.00Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$10.00Jul 15, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?$8.00Jul 15, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?$0.13Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?$0.81Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?$3.20Jul 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?$0.79Jul 15, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?$2.29Jul 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$4.39Jul 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?$4.42Jul 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$12.06Jul 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?$5.30Jul 15, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.