Hideous-Drag
0x0ef2fe83d3acc9ad96103f59da55395083e0d866
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Player 42 win Beast Games: Season 2?
563 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2?
527 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Player 126 win Beast Games: Season 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.34Jun 7, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.34Jun 7, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.32Jun 7, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.05Jun 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Jun 7, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.35Jun 7, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.85Jun 7, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jun 7, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19Jun 7, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 18, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.00Jan 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$1.00Jan 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 21 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.00Jan 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 42 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.00Jan 18, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.