Dull-Crumb
0x0ef641a8e69627aac9b459ab28eefaa41d35277c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.02
Total PnL
$-6.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.72
$0.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.80
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
926 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$1.20Jul 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$2.70Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?$2.60Jul 25, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?$1.60Jul 24, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?$1.80Jul 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.10Jul 20, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?$4.71Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$52.06Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.32Jun 30, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$51.91Jun 30, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?$4.70Jun 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.30Jun 27, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in May?$1.01Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$2.00Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?$3.02Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$39.86Jun 1, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.42Jun 1, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.02May 31, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.