0x0ef66da501e29c7851c170e4ab3373c403e1518c
0x0ef66da501e29c7851c170e4ab3373c403e1518c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will "Sullivan's Crossing" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
321 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
144 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 10?
106 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 9?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$3.13Feb 21, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$15.57Feb 12, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.25Feb 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 15?$2.19Feb 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.49Feb 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$0.55Feb 10, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.15Feb 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$5.04Feb 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.15Feb 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.00Feb 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.04Feb 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.04Feb 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.04Feb 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.13Feb 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.50Feb 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.09Feb 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.11Feb 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.75Feb 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.64Feb 10, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.