Decimal-Vegetable
0x0ef82e95029c54a3deb2847e03fa6acf4b3e7291
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-358.93
Realised
$55.11
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
234 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-32.78
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
178 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
143 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-101.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
124 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-13.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
111 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Feb 1, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$300.00Jan 31, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$741.85Jan 31, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$681.89Jan 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMarch Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$261.69Jan 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$29.85Jan 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.0KJan 31, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$50.00Jan 31, 08:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 31, 00:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$127.15Jan 30, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$133.85Jan 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$30.00Jan 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$7.69Jan 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$15.00Jan 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$7.31Jan 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$976.00Jan 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$4.46Jan 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.19Jan 30, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$28.55Jan 30, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $200.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.