Obedient-Geography
0x0f04c81e0e43b07bb03ce718510ff78c2130eca5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$54.81
Total PnL
$-77.59
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$5.00
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.75
$3.75
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.98
$0.98
- NO
US recession in 2025?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.08
$2.08
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
550 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
265 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
98 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.66
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$0.00May 11, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$0.00May 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval >40% on June 1?$12.60May 5, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$0.00May 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China trade deal before June?$20.00Apr 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on June 1?$15.00Apr 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$30.00Apr 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$5.00Apr 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?$31.00Apr 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$3.00Apr 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?$6.00Apr 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on June 1?$15.00Apr 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$10.00Apr 24, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$15.00Apr 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$3.00Apr 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$3.00Apr 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$2.00Apr 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$20.00Apr 24, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $12.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.