Rusty-Chasm
0x0f073e6202b68c4d9a307caf497525980356d756
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$67.81
Total PnL
$-37.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
47 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$32.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$14.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$13.54
$3.54
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.15
$-3.85
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
81 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.28
$-29.72
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.17
$-4.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$15.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$30.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.302d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.053d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.013d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$47.434d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.506d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$30.006d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$40.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$27.586d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$58.726d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$60.007d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.007d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.277d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.008d ago
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Energy" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$29.578d ago
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.128d ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$19.248d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".