0x0f0c098d0562116e54fbfe3b87de2963fa69f8ac
0x0f0c098d0562116e54fbfe3b87de2963fa69f8ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$45.95
Total PnL
$-15.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
15 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.36
$0.38
- NO
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
15 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.32
$0.34
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.27
$0.29
- EVEN
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
1213 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- OVER
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5
1213 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- OVER
Altmaier vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5
1213 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
1160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
753 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 3?
82 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 3?
66 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?$1.35Apr 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 5?$0.91Apr 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 1?$1.25Apr 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$1.25Apr 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 5?$1.94Apr 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 4?$0.28Apr 1, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 3?$0.74Apr 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 3?$1.80Apr 1, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 3?$0.20Apr 1, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 2?$0.35Apr 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAltmaier vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5$1.25Mar 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.75Mar 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 2?$0.15Mar 31, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$14.98Mar 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$14.98Mar 31, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$14.98Mar 31, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET$1.25Mar 31, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 3?$1.93Mar 31, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 1?$0.72Mar 31, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 3?$1.64Mar 31, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.