Even-Butane-Blame
0x0f0e5e825f271374f3407d9f25509108b9507d97
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$32.25
Total PnL
$-700.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.12
$-1.87
- UNDER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5
527 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
341 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- AUSTRIA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
250 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?$0.00Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?$0.00Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Iraq?$0.00Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?$0.00Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq?$0.00Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$263.16Jun 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?$20.46Jun 24, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?$20.46Jun 24, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$152.52Jun 24, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$151.93Jun 24, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Colombia leading at halftime?$10.29Jun 24, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$1.0KJun 24, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPanama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5$444.20Jun 24, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5$50.81Jun 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5$50.81Jun 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$101.53Jun 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$101.53Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$50.76Jun 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$101.53Jun 23, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $115.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.