Revolving-Legislation
0x0f153384f580c28b1ebe1d02c1f7ee6f9af3633b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.09
Total PnL
$-30.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.83
$0.83
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$7.58
$2.58
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.69
$0.69
- CONG
Cong vs. Fernandes
9 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 8-15?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by September 30?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?$5.05May 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.02May 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13.00May 29, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$3.09May 29, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?$4.44May 29, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$5.32May 29, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?$5.71May 29, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$7.09May 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?$4.00Feb 24, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?$4.00Feb 24, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?$4.00Feb 24, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$5.00Feb 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$3.00Feb 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$7.00Feb 24, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$7.50Feb 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$16.48Feb 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$5.07Jan 10, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$6.25Jan 10, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$8.42Jan 10, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8.42Jan 10, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.