Tedious-Grant
0x0f192e20914cfa86a719c35ff0a81da3af8da996
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$68.40
Total PnL
$-72.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?
68 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$68.40
$34.40
- NO
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
18 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$25.97Sep 12, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$39.06Sep 12, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?$20.00Jun 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?$50.00Jun 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$2.00Jun 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$20.00Jun 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$50.00Jun 27, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?$20.00Jun 27, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?$14.00Jun 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 27, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jun 27, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?$1.00Jun 27, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jun 27, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $15.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 12, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".