Leafy-Cabbage
0x0f24d2d0b69c886a0ff3d0cf3db7d97e3da7a7fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$471.12
Win rate
64%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET
2099 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-72.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1494 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-204.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1347 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-140.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1196 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-170.42
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1057 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-165.62
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1007 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-216.55
- YES
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
927 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.77
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
907 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-144.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$20.71Jul 15, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$5.39Jul 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$14.17Jul 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLManu Koné: 1+ goals$0.29Jul 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$5.46Jul 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$7.04Jul 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$1.00Jul 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$42.13Jul 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$55.27Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$161.26Jul 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-14?$149.94Jul 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$43.66Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?$9.54Jul 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$103.73Jul 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?$10.45Jul 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYManu Koné: 1+ goals$10.46Jul 14, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$58.39Jul 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$103.72Jul 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$4.00Jul 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$10.27Jul 12, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
44 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.