Light-Hygienic
0x0f2bcf469f85fe746058f3a0767d24124d0d665a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$92.2K
Total PnL
$6.0K
Realised
$-717.14
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
21000 shares @ 85.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.4K
$1.5K
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
20250 shares @ 84.1¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.8K
$1.8K
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
7000 shares @ 87.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$375.01
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
5000 shares @ 80.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.9K
$924.68
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
10000 shares @ 43.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$500.03
- NO
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 79.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$68.45
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
5000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$452.25
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
5000 shares @ 69.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$884.95
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
5000 shares @ 78.4¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$-118.38
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
4000 shares @ 87.9¢·now 86.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$-74.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$152.05Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$440.00Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$60.72Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.7KJul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$860.00Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.8KJul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$441.95Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$225.28Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$4.8KJul 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$4.9KJul 30, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.0KJul 30, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?$803.84Jul 30, 03:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$23.89Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.00Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$10.95Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$18.80Jul 29, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$84.92Jul 29, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$111.42Jul 29, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$4.20Jul 29, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $825.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.