Powerless-Bandwidth
0x0f4f411de06dcf9d78eae51ae76852ff0a4c7039
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
1184 shares @ 70.9¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$746.13
$-93.87
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
470 shares @ 64.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.35
$28.87
- NO
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?
401 shares @ 52.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.41
$90.41
- YES
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
422 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.28
$56.94
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
1023 shares @ 41.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$276.10
$-144.90
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?
281 shares @ 64.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$238.85
$59.01
- NO
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?
247 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$201.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?
210 shares @ 52.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$112.37
$1.37
- NO
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
399 shares @ 44.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.65
$-81.35
- YES
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
123 shares @ 34.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$76.83
$34.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?$111.00Jul 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$33.00Jul 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?$200.00Jul 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.72Jul 28, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$146.52Jul 24, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?$12.00Jul 24, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?$100.00Jul 23, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$455.37Jul 23, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?$271.53Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$483.48Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$775.34Jul 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$100.00Jul 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$68.00Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$155.00Jul 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$285.00Jul 21, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$100.00Jul 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$333.00Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$849.82Jul 11, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$7.00Jul 7, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$55.00Jul 7, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $110.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.