Poised-Minister
0x0f536755cf72c3547a867864d8aefd73129c9bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-464.72
Realised
$-135.66
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
137 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-135.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 11?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 14?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 15?
40 shares @ 91.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 11?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?
30 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-28.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
11 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- MURRAY STATE RACERS
Spread: Murray State Racers (-14.5)
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$5.00Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?$5.00Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 22?$5.00Mar 18, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.00 in February?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 February 16-22?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.10 February 16-22?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 February 16-22?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?$8.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 February 16-22?$8.10Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?$8.10Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.90Feb 22, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 22?$4.95Feb 22, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.00Feb 22, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$11.00Feb 22, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$6.00Feb 22, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$11.00Feb 22, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.