Marvelous-Macadamia
0x0f7192f3f98edff598e47dbf8961520524e8912d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.91
Realised
$128.87
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2924 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.79
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in January?
740 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
717 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.02
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?
700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Google dip to $225 in February?
531 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$31.88May 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$10.75May 17, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$16.56May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$16.81May 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$33.11May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$16.20May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$516.23May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$19.11May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$4.26May 14, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$29.10May 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $120 in May?$26.26May 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$57.83May 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in May?$49.16May 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$8.75May 11, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$106.25May 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $110 in May?$80.74May 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$33.70May 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$43.37May 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$3.24May 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$40.66May 10, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.