Organic-Reorganisation
0x0f745384de9663415bf60e7cf1395b7978620c67
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-558.13
Realised
$0.94
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?
7922 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
2561 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
1815 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-98.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1313 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-166.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
922 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-91.39
- YES
Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
599 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-69.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
533 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-13.24
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$6.00Feb 27, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$5.95Feb 27, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$6.00Feb 27, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.67Feb 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$2.00Feb 27, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.74Feb 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$8.28Feb 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$7.00Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$9.00Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?$0.40Feb 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 28?$15.38Feb 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?$4.00Feb 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 28?$4.52Feb 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?$13.00Feb 26, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?$12.81Feb 26, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?$5.00Feb 26, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 28?$10.00Feb 26, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?$15.35Feb 26, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.