Unselfish-Facsimile
0x0f75f6bf33445cd39a2219e50d2365c2930ffe46
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.70
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CHIEFS
Texans vs. Chiefs
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.18
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?$79.07Jun 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?$79.00Jun 10, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$78.98May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$78.90May 28, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$78.88May 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$78.80May 23, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$78.78May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$78.70May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$2.31May 15, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$81.08May 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$81.01May 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?$80.98May 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?$80.90May 11, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$80.88May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$80.80May 6, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$80.86May 6, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$80.78Apr 28, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$80.78Apr 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$80.70Apr 24, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 20?$80.70Apr 24, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $72.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.