Thirsty-Coordination
0x0f7b54641677ca57e13291dfdc351af7c4dbbd3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$36.84
Total PnL
$-45.59
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
16 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.03Jun 29, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$20.07Jun 29, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$2.13Jun 29, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$42.19Jun 29, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$27.00Apr 18, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$5.13Apr 18, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$24.19Apr 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$39.70Apr 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$25.00Mar 20, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$15.00Mar 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.00Mar 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.00Mar 13, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?$1.60Mar 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?$1.60Oct 1, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$0.00Oct 1, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.10Sep 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $1.20Sep 30, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested by Friday?$1.05Sep 30, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on January 10?$2.01Sep 30, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $81.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.