0x0f7cdcaf7d87f1c4e4f675a8499fdfacb1f31558
0x0f7cdcaf7d87f1c4e4f675a8499fdfacb1f31558
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$766.80
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-30.38
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on March 13?
202 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$202.43
$2.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 13?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$101.11
$1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 13?
101 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$101.01
$1.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 11?
52 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$51.67
$1.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 12?
45 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$45.08
$1.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 11?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$32.26
$22.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 15?
20 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$20.00
$0.64
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
15 shares @ 57.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$6.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 13?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$11.47
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 20?
10 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.47
$0.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 27?$10.26Jul 28, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 27?$10.19Jul 28, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 27?$10.22Jul 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 27?$10.00Jul 27, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 27?$9.97Jul 27, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?$10.42Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 26?$10.32Jul 27, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on July 26?$61.98Jul 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 27?$10.02Jul 27, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?$10.02Jul 26, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 26?$10.00Jul 26, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on July 26?$59.92Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on July 24?$61.66Jul 25, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 24?$10.36Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 24?$10.22Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 24?$6.00Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 24?$48.47Jul 25, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 24?$10.01Jul 24, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?$10.19Jul 24, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 23?$10.47Jul 24, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $21.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.