Messy-Dungarees
0x0f81eef3aa8048c36beadb79249e6ce4c405e93f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
4391 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-961.69
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1428 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
384 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-278.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
356 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-271.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
295 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-208.00
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
295 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-288.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
286 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-203.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
274 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
266 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?
250 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-203.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$961.69Jan 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$949.04Jan 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1000.00Jan 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.0KJan 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.9KJan 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.9KJan 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.1KJan 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.1KJan 11, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.6KJan 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$987.61Jan 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)$174.97Jan 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1000.00Jan 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$112.47Jan 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$187.65Jan 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?$196.90Jan 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$196.45Jan 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$200.82Jan 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?$246.56Jan 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.33Jan 11, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$57.05Jan 11, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $479.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.