Flamboyant-Accordance
0x0f8271a20f4f064c19beb7b44dbd3371b5cd2586
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.34
Total PnL
$-127.87
Realised
$2.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will philo win the Aster trading competition?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1558 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?$6.44May 25, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?$5.62May 24, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$9.52May 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$8.04May 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMadrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabher$12.21Apr 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabher$3.00Apr 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabher$2.96Apr 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?$4.47Apr 6, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$4.47Apr 6, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$3.49Apr 3, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMCredit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$3.48Apr 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$2.70Apr 2, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Apr 2, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-03-30?$1.71Apr 2, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-30?$1.45Mar 30, 08:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Mar 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Mar 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Mar 17, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".