Ill-Satire
0x0f8e332ec1926a2b5cdc5771a7cb80b109d6ff7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 8?
21313 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?
20049 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.61
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$92.77Feb 5, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$156.92Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$367.71Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.20Jan 19, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$151.18Jan 19, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$196.34Jan 19, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$50.00Jan 18, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$112.90Jan 18, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?$10.00Jan 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$28.89Jan 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$67.63Jan 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$100.00Jan 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$120.00Jan 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$100.00Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 40 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$117.65Jan 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$49.94Jan 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$48.67Jan 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$9.89Jan 12, 10:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 10, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $75.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.