Visible-Gadget
0x0f914a84cf93a8157d352a563af35a16bc74e105
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$27.73
Total PnL
$-87.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
28 shares @ 68.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$27.73
$8.79
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
223 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Todd Bowles be the next NFL Head Coach fired?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Scorigami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$18.94Jan 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$60.00Jan 20, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBills vs. Broncos$0.00Jan 18, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Broncos$20.00Jan 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$10.00Jan 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$22.56Jan 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?$1.00Jan 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?$15.09Jan 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$24.79Jan 13, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?$0.00Jan 13, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?$0.00Jan 13, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMColts vs. Seahawks$0.00Jan 13, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Jan 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYScorigami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?$1.00Jan 12, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Eagles$58.82Jan 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$10.00Jan 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Eagles$20.00Jan 6, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $12.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.