Nervous-Year
0x0f9231ff8de607158d3a93382994f64ec840a3c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$190.00
Total PnL
$-27.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
20000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
995079 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.1K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
100000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
66597 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
45500 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
29704 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-594.08
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
15000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32May 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$543.89May 8, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.13May 8, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.30May 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.64May 8, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$2.55May 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.30May 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.51May 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.74May 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$93.75May 8, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$80.78May 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.06May 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.51May 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.06May 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.06May 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.06May 8, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.46May 8, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$372.03May 8, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$50.00May 8, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$49.96May 8, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $41.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.