Well-Made-Downtown
0x0f949965f7418f01b4167a9305911d75dce9dff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 14?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.10 March 30-April 5?
186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
52 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- PASSION UA
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 5?$72.08Jun 5, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 5?$72.00Jun 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$72.07May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$72.00May 26, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$72.07May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$72.00May 24, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$72.07May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$72.00May 21, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$72.07May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$72.01May 13, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$71.14May 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$71.01May 8, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$71.07May 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$71.01May 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$1.50May 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?$71.07May 6, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$1.50May 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?$71.01May 4, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$71.13May 4, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$71.00Apr 28, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $57.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".