Thorny-Researcher
0x0f99b597864d8a3977ebf7f225b7394a52f59b59
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$21.97
Total PnL
$-496.32
Realised
$383.25
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.88
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.00
$3.70
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?
5 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$4.97
$2.90
- NO
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.00
$0.34
- NO
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.00
$0.75
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?
7877 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-205.21
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
4045 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-73.94
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025?
3790 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-34.38
- YES
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
3585 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-105.59
- YES
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
3182 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-67.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$9.48Feb 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$36.00Feb 20, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Davis be Trump's Attorney General?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $21m?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Pompeo be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $20-24m?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Rogers be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Nosferatu' gross between $20-25m on 5-day opening weekend?$0.00Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $22.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".