Self-Assured-Poker
0x0f9dac7d852296a26d1fa8e96d2229b58bc53bb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-428.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
3526 shares @ 75.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- BENOÎT SAINT DENIS
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
2000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
1295 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-388.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
986 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET
703 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-680.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
547 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
257 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
226 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
177 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$83.21Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$72.28Jul 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$309.75Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.70Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$209.47Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$34.33Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$224.00Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$6.36Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$336.00Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$123.45Jul 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$186.36Jul 11, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$825.98Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.94Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$303.62Jul 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$202.29Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$493.48Jul 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$102.19Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$509.15Jul 7, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$2.6KJul 4, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$402.64Jul 4, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $207.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.