Swift-Damage
0x0fa368c97da06d1c5a180032210f5746efb2e9c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$21.04
Total PnL
$-4.33
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
9 shares @ 46.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.96
$2.96
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.81
$0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.9¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?$0.95Jul 5, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?$1.15Jul 4, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 4, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?$1.04Jul 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 5?$1.05Jul 4, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 4, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?$0.23Jul 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?$0.26Jul 4, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?$0.58Jul 4, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 4?$1.27Jul 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?$3.78Jul 3, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.