Serene-Tuber
0x0fa409c7fb423d6fe5bd9cbb62bd814ce544bd97
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$112.59
Total PnL
$0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 20?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.90
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 19?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.92
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 19?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 19?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$14.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 19?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 19?$10.00Jul 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?$11.00Jul 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 19?$17.90Jul 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 19?$14.70Jul 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 19?$15.00Jul 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 20?$24.00Jul 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?$19.88Jul 19, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 14?$1.90Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 13?$2.60Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 14?$2.71Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 13?$3.91Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 13?$4.11Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 14?$4.76Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?$4.78Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 13?$4.90Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 13?$4.91Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?$5.41Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 13?$5.71Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15?$5.80Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?$6.06Apr 20, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.