0x0fad06f0030d64a0c8ae4e8db6523b6e3f4f3cdd
0x0fad06f0030d64a0c8ae4e8db6523b6e3f4f3cdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 22?
170 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?
45 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-12.15
- HERBERT
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will Trump say "NAFTA" during tariff event on April 2?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?$2.10Apr 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NAFTA" during tariff event on April 2?$3.50Apr 2, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?$5.00Apr 2, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?$4.99Mar 31, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?$5.00Mar 26, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?$4.79Mar 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$5.00Mar 25, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?$12.15Mar 24, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?$5.00Mar 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?$4.93Mar 24, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?$10.00Mar 24, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?$1.80Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?$4.90Mar 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYJai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla $15.00Mar 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla $5.00Mar 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 22?$68.00Mar 22, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $11.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.