Cheerful-Subprime
0x0fb18e69f04cd17151d5327ba149fbca371a1267
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-39.81
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
363 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-79.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
287 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-63.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
261 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
248 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-37.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
235 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
224 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
223 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-137.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
221 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
210 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-39.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
205 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-85.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$8.39Jul 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$9.66Jul 30, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$8.64Jul 30, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$13.94Jul 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$13.45Jul 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.93Jul 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$11.94Jul 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$11.94Jul 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.64Jul 30, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$20.52Jul 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$19.57Jul 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$19.08Jul 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$19.09Jul 30, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$12.00Jul 30, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$11.55Jul 30, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$290.27Jul 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$16.05Jul 30, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$11.76Jul 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$13.91Jul 30, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.