Impolite-Lock
0x0fb3f008e7f8c6fd443b9015a34c38c580fae55a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
68 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
60 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "AIPAC" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.87Nov 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$8.09Nov 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$12.33Nov 9, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.81Nov 7, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.09Oct 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$9.00Oct 21, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$10.58Oct 18, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$9.00Oct 9, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$3.00Oct 9, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$3.00Oct 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$6.00Oct 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$18.56Oct 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$6.00Oct 9, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$10.00Oct 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$21.25Sep 30, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$8.00Sep 20, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?$3.00Sep 17, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$5.00Sep 17, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$0.00Sep 17, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$32.47Sep 17, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.