Poised-Sneaker
0x0fb3fb21339ac8ae3d835e23e8b0712862c93739
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$188.82
Total PnL
$-22.09
Realised
$3.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
81 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$81.03
$2.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
45 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$45.14
$0.14
- CAVALIERS
Nets vs. Cavaliers
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$20.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?
15 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$15.20
$0.20
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
109 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
109 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$79.00Mar 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Cavaliers$20.00Mar 11, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$15.00Mar 11, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$15.00Mar 11, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?$15.00Mar 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.00Mar 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$45.00Mar 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$20.00Mar 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.82Mar 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$14.95Mar 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$153.53Mar 11, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$35.57Mar 11, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$50.43Feb 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Feb 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$35.00Feb 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$5.10Feb 23, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.10Feb 23, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.24Feb 23, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?$15.20Feb 23, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? $15.35Feb 23, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.