Firsthand-Entrepreneur
0x0fb475b0375a628a82f625c2e6b93b58050bc6d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$290.43
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-22.78
Win rate
0%
89 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 11?
55 shares @ 70.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$55.30
$16.33
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$49.98
$21.98
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 12?
49 shares @ 28.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$48.71
$34.64
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 12?
41 shares @ 43.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$40.92
$23.16
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?
40 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$39.98
$16.78
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$15.60
$-2.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 28.9¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$11.56
$-8.84
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$11.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 12?
45 shares @ 52.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$8.38
$-15.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 12?
39 shares @ 28.9¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$4.33
$-7.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?$9.00Aug 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?$9.40Aug 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?$3.13Aug 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 12?$13.80Aug 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?$6.40Aug 12, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 11?$100.00Aug 12, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 11?$6.70Aug 12, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 11?$21.43Aug 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?$0.51Aug 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?$2.16Aug 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?$3.60Aug 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?$7.20Aug 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?$14.40Aug 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?$0.06Aug 12, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 11?$20.00Aug 12, 02:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.92Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$60.90Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?$14.00Aug 11, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 11?$30.00Aug 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?$7.10Aug 11, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 89 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
89 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $10.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 89 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.