Firsthand-Entrepreneur
0x0fb475b0375a628a82f625c2e6b93b58050bc6d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
158
Open notional
$86.40
Total PnL
$-93.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.12
$2.12
- NO
Will Takefusa Kubo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 82.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Ismael Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?
2 shares @ 87.9¢·now 90.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 27?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.33
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$1.00Jun 27, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiuliano Simeone: 1+ assists$1.01Jun 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia (11) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.00Jun 27, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMNicolas Raskin: 1+ shots$1.25Jun 27, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.03Jun 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$1.01Jun 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Jun 27, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$1.23Jun 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.10Jun 27, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.11Jun 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.01Jun 27, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?$1.01Jun 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 27, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?$1.22Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?$2.42Jun 27, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 28?$1.01Jun 27, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?$1.19Jun 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$1.90Jun 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?$1.01Jun 27, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.