Austere-Microlending
0x0fc69fb9e153c839d5762640ba15f0c4dca88aae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.31
Total PnL
$-17.44
Realised
$1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 18?
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 18?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
22 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 18?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$3.08May 26, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 23, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 23, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$2.07May 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$1.03May 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.27May 20, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.04May 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.04May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.05May 17, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.14May 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 18?$1.05May 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 18?$1.04May 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 18?$1.05May 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$1.00May 16, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 16, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.