Unhappy-Weasel
0x0fc6b9f832b82f366cc7ceab74272f5e8838b817
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-951.16
Realised
$-238.10
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Richard Carapaz win the Tour de France 2025?
17596 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-18.56
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
1674 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.20
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??
621 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-93.60
- YES
Will Richard Carapaz finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
546 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
526 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.02
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
500 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-83.50
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?
484 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-227.29
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
369 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.72
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??
281 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 26?
202 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.00Jun 7, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$9.54May 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$7.53May 28, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$9.32May 27, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$0.82May 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$1.41May 27, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$4.94May 27, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$0.65May 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$0.19May 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 28?$14.12May 27, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$6.44May 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$3.34May 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$0.35May 27, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$5.56May 27, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$4.10May 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$1.90May 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$2.22May 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$3.03May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$0.04May 26, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 27?$1.85May 26, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.