0x0fc83bfd2f477b1b812abb51faf75b3cf9ee8de0
0x0fc83bfd2f477b1b812abb51faf75b3cf9ee8de0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$15.29
Total PnL
$-2.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 17 2026?
9 shares @ 28.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$6.27
$3.78
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.63
$1.14
- YES
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.63
$0.14
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.92
$-0.57
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.49
$-2.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
7 shares @ 35.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.35
$-2.14
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
12 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.01
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 17 2026?$2.56Aug 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?$2.55Aug 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?$2.52Aug 16, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$6.38Aug 15, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 14?$3.77Aug 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$2.53Aug 14, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?$3.95Aug 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 14?$2.52Aug 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$2.57Aug 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?$2.53Aug 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$2.55Aug 12, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$0.00Aug 12, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$8.89Aug 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$2.49Aug 12, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?$2.55Aug 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 12?$2.55Aug 11, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.