Comfortable-Offering-Viability
0x0fd578a3fadb3e87421b5bc75092f4158f13a85e
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$414.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$928.50
$8.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?
1022 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$909.58
$30.47
- NO
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
523 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$494.24
$13.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?
500 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$467.23
$0.88
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
500 shares @ 89.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$462.50
$14.30
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$457.50
$22.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
500 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$452.50
$16.78
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
520 shares @ 77.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$442.00
$36.80
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
505 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$434.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
500 shares @ 56.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$377.50
$94.19
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$39.15Aug 13, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?$461.47Aug 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?$88.45Aug 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?$359.12Aug 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?$461.47Aug 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?$114.34Aug 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?$451.61Aug 12, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$10.83Aug 12, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?$436.73Aug 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?$437.26Aug 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?$432.41Aug 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$51.95Aug 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?$467.61Aug 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?$437.96Aug 11, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?$450.06Aug 11, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?$77.55Aug 11, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?$323.63Aug 11, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$393.43Aug 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?$102.00Aug 11, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $185.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.