Homely-Vitamin
0x0fda55255e462cefe10f58c6dd14a6ac48e38405
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
187
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.9K
Realised
$2.26
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 187- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
709460 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-908.82
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
282529 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 in April?
226564 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.3K
- YES
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?
159610 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-519.69
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?
116225 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
109000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
100280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-123.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$3.14Jul 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?$0.19Jul 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?$2.92Jul 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$5.16Jul 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$1.05Jul 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?$5.35Jul 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?$4.28Jul 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?$1.07Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?$1.07Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$143.77Jul 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?$1.07Jul 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?$1.07Jul 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?$10.48Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?$10.49Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?$10.49Jul 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 July 6-12?$1.07Jul 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.30 July 6-12?$1.07Jul 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 July 6-12?$10.67Jul 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 July 6-12?$10.70Jul 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium? AND Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?$5.97Jul 10, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.