Humongous-Set
0x0fdb4e3d7f350921dd6641dbe72e0f8b9e4a9c5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.11
Total PnL
$-385.12
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?
314 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-55.32
- YES
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?
292 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?
233 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-56.85
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?
145 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?
80 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
70 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
60 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?$1.08Dec 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?$6.00Dec 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$210.41Dec 9, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?$1.05Dec 9, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$2.00Dec 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?$3.20Dec 9, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$6.08Dec 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$12.38Dec 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$26.24Dec 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$3.72Dec 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$39.02Dec 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$11.55Dec 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?$40.45Dec 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$19.40Dec 8, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$14.00Dec 8, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLHeat vs. Mavericks$19.55Dec 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Mavericks$20.00Dec 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?$12.85Nov 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?$17.57Nov 10, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.