Familiar-Full
0x0fdbb7a324d73be98f773f6cf2e27ceac1e901fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-20.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2785 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.01Jan 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 16, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Jan 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Dec 26, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.07Dec 26, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.07Dec 26, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.02Dec 10, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.04Dec 10, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Nov 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.04Nov 26, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.01Nov 26, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".