Fortunate-Pacemaker
0x0fdc58234e943ff8995fa8cf628250244f42da5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.21
Total PnL
$-14.03
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.75
$0.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.24
$0.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3AM ET
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?$1.33Feb 19, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)$1.27Feb 19, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?$0.06Feb 19, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.08Feb 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 3, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?$2.08Feb 3, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.40Jan 30, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?$1.50Jan 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)$2.90Jan 29, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)$2.85Jan 29, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 29, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?$3.00Jan 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$1.00Jan 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$2.59Jan 19, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$1.21Jan 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$2.00Jan 19, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$2.00Jan 19, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.