Oily-Examiner
0x0fe50a6edc23c721d26bf965f55c80a490ede760
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$59.14
Total PnL
$-2.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$15.06
$0.06
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- VENEZUELA
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.44
$1.44
- DOMINICAN REP.
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- ITALY
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- USA
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?$5.00Mar 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in March?$15.00Mar 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela$1.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico$1.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Canada vs. USA$1.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea$2.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Dplus vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season$1.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$12.00Mar 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?$1.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $192.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.