Our-Hand
0x0fe6eeb31144592016c572a50f8a6abee9407d50
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-37.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Son Heung-min sign with a new club during the transfer window?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$5.00
$3.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Son Heung-min sign with a new club during the transfer window?$2.00Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darwin Nunez sign with a new club during the transfer window?$2.00Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Jul 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?$2.00Jun 20, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$3.00Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.94Jun 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?$3.33Jun 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$8.36Jun 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$31.33Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?$19.41Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$15.49Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?$0.00Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?$0.00Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$0.00Jun 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$11.00Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$3.00Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 8, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?$2.00Jun 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?$11.00Jun 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$2.00Jun 8, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.