Well-Groomed-Climate
0x0ff112582d7ed275bcda28f72b38f97fdd987234
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-5.75
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-21?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
1250 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-559.99
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
377 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$1.00Jul 29, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.11Jul 22, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$1.07Jul 22, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$3.63Jul 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.04Jul 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$1.72Jul 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.56Jul 22, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$6.61Jul 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.09Jul 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 22, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.50Jul 22, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.03Jul 22, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.86Jul 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$3.00Jul 22, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.10Jul 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$31.68Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$42.84Jul 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$7.00Jul 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$0.16Jul 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$36.85Jul 21, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $35.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.