Thoughtful-Evaluation
0x0ff18bcd83646387c85e98c0aa885ab8b836121a
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
779 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-109.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
561 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
236 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-98.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
210 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-98.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
207 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-98.44
- NO
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
205 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
188 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
173 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-98.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
164 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
154 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$147.24Mar 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$193.73Mar 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$350.00Mar 5, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$472.23Mar 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$350.00Mar 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$352.21Mar 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$250.00Mar 3, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$187.19Mar 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$100.00Mar 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$100.00Mar 2, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$100.00Mar 2, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $147.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".