Verifiable-Fallacy
0x0ff9c0c24aed4ad336575263735f11e2b3220446
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$30.08
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.81
$1.81
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.27
$-11.73
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
1574 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 43°F or below on December 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
778 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
509 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?$2.0KApr 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?$2.0KApr 2, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$2.0KApr 2, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$2.0KApr 1, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31?$2.5KApr 1, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31?$2.5KMar 31, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?$2.5KMar 31, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?$2.5KMar 30, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?$2.5KMar 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?$2.5KMar 29, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?$2.5KMar 29, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?$2.5KMar 28, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$2.5KMar 27, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$2.5KMar 26, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?$2.5KMar 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?$2.5KMar 25, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$2.5KMar 24, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$2.5KMar 23, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?$2.5KMar 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?$2.5KMar 21, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".